Strategic Foresight Initiative

The Strategic Foresight Initiative (SFI) is a transformative, community-wide effort to create an enduring foresight capability. It is intended to advance strategic planning and thinking about the future, to prepare the emergency management community both for emerging challenges and for the key opportunities presented by our changing environment. Its core focus is to understand the factors driving change in our world, and to analyze how they will impact the emergency management field in the United States over the next 20 years. Fundamentally, the SFI seeks two outcomes: (1) an emergency management community prepared for whatever challenges the future holds; and (2) a common sense of direction and urgency, to drive action toward meeting our shared future needs—starting today. Achieving these objectives will require ongoing conversations among diverse stakeholders, the creation of a common sense of awareness, and leadership throughout the community to make the needed changes to prepare our Nation for the future.

FEMA is only one member of the emergency management community. Therefore, to expand our community’s exposure to and understanding of the challenges and opportunities facing us, the SFI engages all levels of government, non-profits, businesses and individuals. This forum provides an opportunity to provide input on the challenges and opportunities the future holds for emergency and disaster management. Your ideas will help shape the future work of the SFI.

The SFI adopted a rigorous approach to thinking about future needs for emergency management. The Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030 report represents the most comprehensive analysis to date of the future outlook facing those in our community of practice.

We are providing three discussion topics – highlighted in section III of the Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030 Report - for you to contribute and share your ideas with the emergency management community.

To learn more about SFI and to read additional research materials, we encourage you to visit our website.

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@mrsholland)

Incentive to evacuate

Looking at dollars spent in Mississippi after Katrina, shows $60 million during 6 mo period. We helped roughly 175,000 families. What if we offer people $1 million per family deposited into their account when they bring their bank info w/ them to evacuation center? If 50 million families had to evacuate ? Then the cost is even because that was just a 6 mo period of relief. People would surely leave. FEMA would be ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@mrsholland)

Entire new approach for hurricanes

Set up a perimeter of emergency stations approx 5 hrs from evacuated area. People can load up and go there. Once they arrive they get a cash certificate for whatever it is we would spend on them to find them or go get them. They can use that money to rebuild or replace xyz!!! We are wasting money and losing lives w the current approach. Further it is unreasonable to expect FEMA to solve anything when they can't get ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@g.cleary)

EMI Cost Saving Proposal

To find additional ways or means to conduct business becomes more paramount each an everyday with the elimination of program funding. Here is a simple idea, which should be able to save thousands of dollars each year for the agency. Currently, when you request an EMI Transcript you fill out a form and mail or fax that form to EMI with your SSN on it for Distance learning and another request for formal classroom training. ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@davidnuttle)

Hurricane Isaac & Floating Homes

There are now numerous floating homes, and communities of floating homes, designed to help better survive floods & hurricanes ...as well as provide for living on or near the water. A Google search for 'floating homes" will provide details & photos of this new approach to disaster preparedness. If any of these floating homes are hit by the Hurricane Isaac storm surge or related floods, please post information on this ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@davidnuttle)

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Review

A review of subject disaster, resulting from the tsunami off the coast of Japan, on 11 March 2011, has disclosed a number of errors that provide significant lessons learned. To wit: 1) No provision was ever made for tsunami risks; 2) The plant staff had no detailed emergency procedures; 3) There were no plans to deal with a power loss; 4) In addition, there were no plans for loss of cooling; 5) Cooling pumps were placed ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@davidnuttle)

EM Support for DHS & FBI

If and when terrorist activities in the U.S. increase, I would anticipate that DHS and the FBI might be asking for help from local EMs (Emergency Managers). The following are some possible contributions that EMs might be asked to make: 1) Local maps, of various types, that show possible terrorist targets in the wrong place; 2) Local instructions, for response checklists to human-caused disasters, that provide false ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@davidnuttle)

Climate Adaptation Plans/ Actions

Like it or not, all the scientific evidence suggests that climate change is real and causing weather extremes as well as other problems. As examples, floods, drought, fires, tornadoes, hurricanes, pests, diseases, warming & rising seas, are all on the increase or more extreme. In some cases, we can see a direct cause and effect. To wit: Melting and smaller icecaps mean less ice to reflect sunlight ... and less reflected ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@vzgeorgrcostich)

Use of Trains for Hurricaine Evacuations.

In past hurricanes, thousands of Public Trucks, Police Cars, Buses, Fire Apparatus, Ambulances, Heavy Equipment, etc, were abandoned to the storm when they could have been loaded onto trains, and shipped to safety, so that they could have been put back into service when the flood receded. The intelligent use of trains would save many millions of dollars and greatly speed up recovery.

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@davidnuttle)

Automatic Protection for Public Places

Using existing technical means, it is possible to develop a weapons detection system that would sound an alarm and automatically close special security doors when any person approaches with a weapon. The detection system would be activated when the person with weapon was within 30 ft. of the door(s). I am suggesting that such automatic protection means be placed on doors at any and all structures where significant numbers ...more »

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Strategic Foresight Initiative

Submitted by (@davidnuttle)

Priority for Solar Super-Storm Preparedness

In the next few years a solar super-storm is expected, similar to the Carrington Event Storm of 1859. Congress has anticipated the need to harden electric transformers, install ground resistors, and create a reserve of electrical grid replacement parts. The proposed legislation is known as the Solar Shield Bill HR 668. Due to the budget crisis, and the high cost of such preparations, this bill is not expected to pass ...more »

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