Strategic Foresight Initiative

The Strategic Foresight Initiative (SFI) is a transformative, community-wide effort to create an enduring foresight capability. It is intended to advance strategic planning and thinking about the future, to prepare the emergency management community both for emerging challenges and for the key opportunities presented by our changing environment. Its core focus is to understand the factors driving change in our world, and to analyze how they will impact the emergency management field in the United States over the next 20 years. Fundamentally, the SFI seeks two outcomes: (1) an emergency management community prepared for whatever challenges the future holds; and (2) a common sense of direction and urgency, to drive action toward meeting our shared future needs—starting today. Achieving these objectives will require ongoing conversations among diverse stakeholders, the creation of a common sense of awareness, and leadership throughout the community to make the needed changes to prepare our Nation for the future.

FEMA is only one member of the emergency management community. Therefore, to expand our community’s exposure to and understanding of the challenges and opportunities facing us, the SFI engages all levels of government, non-profits, businesses and individuals. This forum provides an opportunity to provide input on the challenges and opportunities the future holds for emergency and disaster management. Your ideas will help shape the future work of the SFI.

The SFI adopted a rigorous approach to thinking about future needs for emergency management. The Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030 report represents the most comprehensive analysis to date of the future outlook facing those in our community of practice.

We are providing three discussion topics – highlighted in section III of the Crisis Response and Disaster Resilience 2030 Report - for you to contribute and share your ideas with the emergency management community.

To learn more about SFI and to read additional research materials, we encourage you to visit our website.

(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Hurricane Isaac & Floating Homes

There are now numerous floating homes, and communities of floating homes, designed to help better survive floods & hurricanes ...as well as provide for living on or near the water. A Google search for 'floating homes" will provide details & photos of this new approach to disaster preparedness. If any of these floating homes are hit by the Hurricane Isaac storm surge or related floods, please post information on this ...more »

Voting

2 votes
6 up votes
4 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Review

A review of subject disaster, resulting from the tsunami off the coast of Japan, on 11 March 2011, has disclosed a number of errors that provide significant lessons learned. To wit: 1) No provision was ever made for tsunami risks; 2) The plant staff had no detailed emergency procedures; 3) There were no plans to deal with a power loss; 4) In addition, there were no plans for loss of cooling; 5) Cooling pumps were placed ...more »

Voting

7 votes
8 up votes
1 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

EM Support for DHS & FBI

If and when terrorist activities in the U.S. increase, I would anticipate that DHS and the FBI might be asking for help from local EMs (Emergency Managers). The following are some possible contributions that EMs might be asked to make: 1) Local maps, of various types, that show possible terrorist targets in the wrong place; 2) Local instructions, for response checklists to human-caused disasters, that provide false ...more »

Voting

-5 votes
2 up votes
7 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Climate Adaptation Plans/ Actions

Like it or not, all the scientific evidence suggests that climate change is real and causing weather extremes as well as other problems. As examples, floods, drought, fires, tornadoes, hurricanes, pests, diseases, warming & rising seas, are all on the increase or more extreme. In some cases, we can see a direct cause and effect. To wit: Melting and smaller icecaps mean less ice to reflect sunlight ... and less reflected ...more »

Voting

0 votes
6 up votes
6 down votes
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(@vzgeorgrcostich)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Use of Trains for Hurricaine Evacuations.

In past hurricanes, thousands of Public Trucks, Police Cars, Buses, Fire Apparatus, Ambulances, Heavy Equipment, etc, were abandoned to the storm when they could have been loaded onto trains, and shipped to safety, so that they could have been put back into service when the flood receded. The intelligent use of trains would save many millions of dollars and greatly speed up recovery.

Voting

14 votes
15 up votes
1 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Automatic Protection for Public Places

Using existing technical means, it is possible to develop a weapons detection system that would sound an alarm and automatically close special security doors when any person approaches with a weapon. The detection system would be activated when the person with weapon was within 30 ft. of the door(s). I am suggesting that such automatic protection means be placed on doors at any and all structures where significant numbers ...more »

Voting

-3 votes
6 up votes
9 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Priority for Solar Super-Storm Preparedness

In the next few years a solar super-storm is expected, similar to the Carrington Event Storm of 1859. Congress has anticipated the need to harden electric transformers, install ground resistors, and create a reserve of electrical grid replacement parts. The proposed legislation is known as the Solar Shield Bill HR 668. Due to the budget crisis, and the high cost of such preparations, this bill is not expected to pass ...more »

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-3 votes
4 up votes
7 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Preparedness Grab-Bag of Programs/ Ideas

If FEMA does not already do so, I suggest they collect all preparedness efforts/ projects/ new ideas, by disaster categories, from every Emergency Manager. A computer program could then be used to create a master website listing all preparedness practices being used or planned ...for all natural and/or human caused disasters. Since many Emergency Managers will all be doing the same types of things the actual preparedness ...more »

Voting

5 votes
6 up votes
1 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Connecting The Preparedness Dots

All the recent Colorado fires could have, and should have, been predicted in advance. The prolonged drought, high temperatures, low humidity, many insect-killed trees, old forest vegetation, stick-homes being constructed in forest areas and dry lightening ... as well as home foreclosure related arson events, habitat management errors and increased numbers of home-grown terrorists (many seeking targets of opportunity), ...more »

Voting

-5 votes
4 up votes
9 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Validity of EM Assumptions

The U.S. is a target rich nation living under multiple potential disaster threats, from possible natural and/or human causes. Under these circumstances every EM (Emergency Manager) must decide how they will respond to any one disaster. In making a priority action list most EMs make certain assumptions as regards support to be received from others; e.g. local law enforcement/ military units to deal with criminal activities/ ...more »

Voting

3 votes
5 up votes
2 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

An Obligation for Preparedness Commercialization

Preparedness is the primary obligation of individuals, families, and businesses ... with government and Emergency Managers at all levels playing a supporting role, as needed. Those of us with meaningful preparedness ideas have an additional obligation to commercialize what we can to make preparedness technologies/ products available to the public. This is a role that FEMA and other government entities cannot easily ...more »

Voting

3 votes
6 up votes
3 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Need for Waterproof/ Water Cities?

As global warming acts to increase flooding and cause sea levels to rise, there is a question about the need for waterproof and/or so-called water cities. The general concept is not new. Floating villages have long been constructed, on floating reed islands, by Uros tribal peoples of Lake Titicaca. The idea of designing/ constructing an entire city to float is feasible from an engineering point-of-view. New Utopia ...more »

Voting

3 votes
5 up votes
2 down votes
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(@davidnuttle)

Strategic Foresight Initiative

Planting of Coastal-Breaks

Coastal-Breaks, are living vegetative (plant) barriers grown to protect sensitive coastal areas for tidal surges, hurricanes, tsunamis, and rising sea levels. When inhabitants of coastal areas are encouraged to plant and sustain these breaks they have proven of benefit in dramatic reduction of coastal damage during the above types of disasters. Bangladesh, for example, has had fantastic positive results in using coastal-breaks ...more »

Voting

3 votes
5 up votes
2 down votes
Active